China's PV modules will increase by 20% in the US market by the end of this year.

According to GTM Research's latest research report, driven by tight supply, rising input costs and Sino-US solar trade disputes, the market price of China's PV modules in the US will increase by 20% by the end of 2014.

In 2013, Chinese PV manufacturers supplied about 3 GW of PV modules to the US market, accounting for more than half of the country's total market size. The report pointed out that the increase in the price of China's PV products in the US market is mainly due to the United States levying punitive tariffs on China's imported PV modules.

“In the past, the price of components for Chinese suppliers has been significantly lower than in other regions,” said Jade Jones, a solar energy analyst at GTM Research. “However, by the end of 2014, the situation is likely to be no longer the case.”

“Currently, the price of components delivered by Chinese companies in the second half of 2014 is likely to exceed 80 cents per watt, up from 70 cents per watt at the end of 2013.”

GTM Research expects China's PV module prices to rise to US$0.80 per watt by the end of 2014.

According to GTM Research, in order to cope with future tariff disputes, Chinese PV manufacturers are not transferring the extra cost to consumers, or subcontracting component production to higher-cost regions such as India, South Korea and Malaysia.

Polysilicon prices continue to rise

The report also found that as of the end of the first quarter of 2014, the global spot price of polysilicon increased by 15% from the previous quarter to 21.20 US dollars per kilogram. GTM Research expects that by the end of the year, polycrystalline prices will rise to $24 per kg and wafer prices will rise to $0.26 per watt.

PV module prices vary

The report estimates that the prices of China's PV modules vary from country to country, ranging from $0.56 in Chile to $0.80 in Europe. In addition, GTM Research found that in the Japanese residential market, component prices were as high as $1.50 per watt, while in the commercial sector, prices were below $1.00 per watt.

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